The new format produced 9 winners out of 20 races over the weekend at Aqueduct including a 38.00 winner as seen on the feature image taken DRF.com. The new format provides two selections the "Win Bet" and the "No Chalk" Bet along with the table with A, B, and C horse selections for horizontal wagers. Below are the Aqueduct Selections for December 2nd, 2021.
The below chart shows the horse’s likelihood of winning a race. “A” horses are most likely while (B) and (C) horses are not as likely, they may offer more value. The formation of the (A), (B) and (C) horses is derived from speed of horse, pace potential of race, training patterns, and track conditions.
| RACE | A HORSES | B HORSES | C HORSES |
| 1 | 4,6 | 1,3 | |
| 2 | 4,8,9 | 2,6 | |
| 3 | 4,8 | 5,7 | |
| 4 | 4 | ||
| 5 | 2,4 | 6 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 6,8 |
| 7 | 6,7 | 5 | |
| 8 | 5,10 | ||
| 9 | 1 | 2.6 | |
The Skinny Ticket is the name for a low priced pick 5 ticket that allows for a big payout. The ticket usually relies on a single selection in the sequence and usually ranges from $18.00 to $75.00 in price. More information on The Skinny Ticket definition and how to play.
The Skinny Ticket Early Pick 5
RACE 1
WIN BET 4 Rational Choice
4 Rational Choice adds Lasix-- draw a line through the last in the slop-- I expect improvement -- hard to like 6 Waxman because will be pounded at window and the 5 Mandatory can win on class but do not like the lay-off. Both 5 and 6 are logical and hard to keep off tickets
NO CHALK 3 Scalding
Love JJ on this horse getting Lasix -- this horse should be all of 15-1!
RACE 2
WIN BET 9 Grudge
9 Grudge will try to take them gate to wire--should be leader turning for home then you will hope he can hold off 4 Social Whirl with JJ and the two Michelle Nevin trainees 2 Get The Candy (last out winner) and 6 Show Me The Honey along with 8 Kept Waiting.
NO CHALK 8 Kept Waiting
8 Kept Waiting reunites with jockey Irad Ortiz who won the last time the two teamed together- there will be plenty of pace-- fear lack of value because of Irad's presence.
RACE 3
WIN BET 4 Exfiltration
4 Exfiltration is a horse that keeps going to the sideline- which is not a good sign, but 5 Lady Thornhill and 7 Out Of Sight have had their chances to win -- maybe this is the time? Rather play a longer price that untrustworthy favorites.
NO CHALK 8 Saigon
8 Saigon comes in off a layoff -- wow that is two horses in the same race, but she has produced the best last out speed figure -- a run back to that number may win this race and at 12-1.
RACE 4
WIN BET 4 Radio Days
just too good for these -- last race wins this race, but expect improvement.
NO CHALK 7 Frosty Brew
JJ and the other McGaughey will try to steal this race on the front end.
RACE 5
WIN BET 4 Built To Last
The Thomas Morley barn has been heating up since the end of the Spa Meet -- looks to add to its best year yet with a second time starter off the claim moving dirt to turf -- horse out of Freud and should like the surface change. 9 My Friend Duke and 10 Red Fortress are logical inclusions for horizontal wagers, but will offer little value for win bets.
NO CHALK 2 Bustin Up and 6 He's Got It
Neither trainer known for firsters but both sires do well on grass, and 2 Bustin Up shows a nice AM move.
RACE 6
WIN BET 4 Moonrock
$ Moonrock ships in from MD for Claudio Gonzales -- 2/2.
NO CHALK 2 Chloe's Rose
Last out winner -- let's keep it going.
RACE 7
WIN BET 6 Arrio
Brittany Russell sends out 6 Arrio shipping in from MD -- Russell wins frequently down there but not as frequently up here-- Carmouche adds to the allure.
NO CHALK 7 Reckless Spirit
7 Reckless Spirit Saez sees fit to ride for Bond and horse produced one of the best last out speed figures -- if ML 6-1 holds play -- play Maker's 5 Voliero because no reason for short price on a horse that has not won in a while.
RACE 8
WIN BET 5 Public Information
Jose Lezcano rides for Saez who jumps to 10 Danzigwiththestars-- Plenty of betting interests in here to keep these odds above 10-1 including Mott's 9 Carrothers along with two Brown entries and a Clement.
NO CHALK 10 Danzigwiththestars
Saez leaves last out winner Public Information to ride this horse. Saez also has won twice over the green with 10 Danzigwiththestars
RACE 9
WIN BET 1 Dr. Levy
1 Dr. Levy second out for TAP -- horses out of Mastery are usually better second time.
NO CHALK 6 Constitutional Lawyer
6 Constitutional Lawyer is sent out by trainer Ray Handal the move from dirt to turf should help this horse.
Aqueduct Results and Win Percentage:
39 winners out of 67 races = 58 %
PARX Wednesday Only
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