Aqueduct Selections for December 3rd, 2021

Yesterday provided some longer shots underneath early on the card, but finished with a series of double digit winners.  In Race 1, No Chalk pick 3 Scalding ran 2nd at 20-1 behind even money favorite 6 Hexman. In Race 2, No Chalk pick 8 Kept Waiting scored $14.20 to win.  In Race 5, the No Chalk picks2 Bustin up  ran second at 12-1 and He's Got It ran third at 35-1.  In Race 7, No Chalk Pick 7 Reckless Spirit wins and pays $16.00. Again, we will try to find value on the Aqueduct card.  Below are the Aqueduct Selections for December 3rd, 2021


The below chart shows the horse’s likelihood of winning a race.  “A” horses are most likely while (B) and (C) horses are not as likely, they may offer more value.  The formation of the (A), (B) and (C) horses is derived from speed of horse, pace potential of race, training patterns, and track conditions.


1 1,2 5,7
2 1,7
3 6,7 3
4 3,4 1,6
5 4 10,11
6 2,6 4,5
7 1,7 3,4
8 3 5,8
9 9,10 2,5
10 3 5,8,10 4


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The Skinny Ticket Early Pick 5

1,2,7 W 1,6 W 2,6,7 W 3,4 W 1,4,10 =$54.00


WIN BET 1 Investment Income

Chad and Irad with 1 Investment Income off a brief layoff for Klarvatch Stables -- we have seen those colors in the winner's circle before

NO CHALK 2 Pruning

2 Pruning Shug brings them along slowly.  5 Mozay for Mott is a deserving favorite and 7Blue Times gets rider upgrade to Saez for trainer Gargan.  If either of these horses drift higher than 3-1, thy become win bets, but for now they merit inclusion in horizontals.



WIN BET 1 Ambassador Kelly

The Pletcher horses will be deserving favorites-- 1 Ambassador Kelly will be the win bet because 6 A Mo Reay will have 10, 000 micro-share win bets to make it the post time favorite.  Radio Days won for fun yesterday and that is who beat 1 Ambassador Kelly on debut.

NO CHALK 7 Glamorous Days

7 Glamorous Days may need a race but Jj with Shug have been a good combo -- chance to upset- maybe- but definitely a value play underneath.


WIN BET 7 Ouraika (FR)

Pletcher's horse 6 Midnight Worker will be the deserving favorite, but Motion's 7 Ouraika (FR) offers value -- the 2 Panic by Maker with Saez could be heard down the lane.

NO CHALK  3 Cool Loaban

Cool Loaban moves back to preferred surface and reunites with Carmouche from their last win. 5 Hezastonecoldfox will try to take them gate to wire since he is speed of the speed.


WIN BET 4 Violent Vixen

Baker will have this one ready on the cutback -- flashed speed going longer. 3 Heels together is a deserving favorite on the morning line since finishing second last time out.

NO CHALK 1 Default Protection and 6 Aunt Naughty

Two horses that will receive Lasix today!


WIN BET    CHANGED to 1 A Ring Thing with Rosario out

Looking to turn the table on the 10 Perhaps Tonight while 7 Empty Net will try to steal on the front end for trainer Brittany Russell. 10 Perhaps Tonight for the Motion JR combination makes sense but will not offer value must include in horizontals.

NO CHALK 4 Evidence Based

If we get the morning line of 6-1, the horse offers plenty of value.


WIN BET 2 Glitter Up

Trainer Timmy Hills is excellent with turfers -- horse should have speed. The other Hills trainee can also make some noise - Sweet Surprise- both will have to beat Motion's 4 Candy Light and Vasquez's 5 Martini Amica-- include both in horizontal action.

NO CHALK 6 Big Bean Christine

Horse will appreciate move to turf.


WIN BET 1 Steam Engine

1 Steam Engine should be on the lead turning for home -- if no one goes with-- gate to wire winner from the inside -- Carmouche perfect rider for this horse.  7 Gold Panda is the favorite and has outside position

NO CHALK  3 Money In The Bank

3 Money In The Bank has won 5 in a row and is 7/10 on the dirt -- take 6-1 on that type of horse all day! Horse knows how to win and will be just off the pace of they try to run with 1 Steam Engine.


WIN BET 3 Cause of Action

DePaz excellent with these sprinters at the Big A

NO CHALK 8 Speeding Kid

Last out best speed!


WIN BET 10 Matty's Express

10 Matty's Express will try to steal on front end.

NO CHALK 9 Kings Honor (IRE)

9 Kings Honor (IRE) will run right behind the 10 expecting a merry-go-round!


WIN BET 2 She's The One

Clement has been excellent in these races and the horse is ultra-consistent

NO CHALK 5 Caumsett

Last out winner -- JJ stays-- cutting back with decent speed, but this is a spread race if you think 3 She's The One is vulnerable.


Aqueduct Results and Win Percentage:

44 winners out of 77 races = 57 %

PARX Wednesday Only

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