Aqueduct Selections for November 20th, 2021

Aqueduct Selections for November 20th, 2021

All winners yesterday were on either A or B list including 5 Best Bet winners from the Aqueduct Selections. Meanwhile "No Chalk" play Magnificent Chrome finished second at 11-1.  Unfortunately,  3 winners were favorites, but we beat the chalk in Race 2 with Untreatable and race 3 with Gambling Cat. In addition, race 7 Skims (GB) and race 10 Control Function were 4-1 on Morning line.

The day started with a Skinny Pick 5 ticket that did not include Clement's Messidor (IRE) in the 5th.

Aqueduct Selections for Early Pick 5 Ticket
Aqueduct Selections for Early Pick 5 Ticket

Later, finished the card with a 3 dollar Skinny Pick 3 Ticket that returned $60.00.

Aqueduct Selections for late Skinny Pick 3
Aqueduct Selections for late Skinny Pick 3

 

The below chart shows the horse’s likelihood of winning a race.  “A” horses are most likely while (B) and (C) horses are not as likely, they may offer more value.  The formation of the (A), (B) and (C) horses is derived from speed of horse, pace potential of race, training patterns, and track conditions.

 

RACE A HORSES B HORSES C HORSES
1 1,8,9 2
2 2,7,11 6
3 4,7 5
4 1,10 3,6,8 9
5 3,7 4, 11
6 1,7 2,5
7 3,6,10 1,2,8
8 2,9 7,10
9 4,5 8, 10
10 1, 8 9,10

 

The Skinny Ticket is the name for a low priced pick 5 ticket that allows for a big payout.  The ticket usually relies on a single selection in the sequence and usually ranges from $18.00 to $75.00 in price. More information on The Skinny Ticket definition and how to play.

 

The Skinny Ticket Early Pick 5

1,8,9 w 2,6,7,11 w 4 w 1,10 w 3,4,7 = $36.00

RACE 1

Best Bet: 9 Endowed Clement doing well with 2yo's on debut.

No Chalk:  8 Royne the mad scientist hooks up with JR at 9/2 and the presence of the 1  and 1A will ensure value on this horse.

RACE 2

Best Bet: 11 King James -- J Ortiz tries to take down WW and Irad on 7 Lyrical Poet

No Chalk: 2 Cousin Andrew finished right behind King James last out when trying turf first time.

RACE 3

Best Bet: 4 Crypto Cash with Linda Rice and Eric Cancel who have been terrific together this fall.

No Chalk:7 Baby I'm Perfect Rudy Rodriguez reclaims this horse.

RACE 4

Best Bet: 1 Dream Streak Clement and Davis on the turf expect improvement second time out

No Chalk: 10 No Nanette No Johnny V sees fit to ride for G. Weaver -an underrated turf trainer.

RACE 5

Best Bet: 3 Dr Brown's Miracle will try to be 7 Fort Washington the deserving favorite for Shug

No Chalk: 4 Parquetry finished second on debut and is eligible for the improve

RACE 6

Best Bet: 7 Spun and Won comes off a winning effort at Parx and even though the Bensalem shippers have not done well here -- I think 2 Cost Basis does not offer value

No Chalk: 1 T Loves A Fight is a hard knocking horse who will be closing -- I like the switch to JJ since he has been riding well.  @ Cost Basis and 5 Mr. Phil hopefully battle up front and set it up for the 1 and the 7.

RACE 7

Best Bet: 3 Matt Doyle ran well in first two races adds blinkers a good move for Summers

No Chalk:6 Fazaro Kelly Breen with Johnny V ML 15-1

RACE 8

Best Bet: 2 Kawhi Me A River Lezcano stays over moving back to Scuttlebuzz

No Chalk:9 Bustin Shout at a price has nice effort last time on Big A turf.

RACE 9

Best Bet: 10 Price Talk winner of last two races

No Chalk: 5 Shamrocket won last out JJ sees fit to stick.

RACE 10

Best Bet: 1 Catching Cupid for Charlton Baker may be as good as he appears but did catch a golden rail in debut.

No Chalk: 8 always Charming 8-1 on ML with terrific works and may be even better odds come post time -- Samuel had a winner yesterday!

Aqueduct Results and Win Percentage:

32 winners out of 47 races = 68 %

Since new format only (11/10) counting A horse selections 5/10 50%

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