Aqueduct Selections for November 12th, 2021

Aqueduct Selections for November 12th, 2021

Starting off yesterday's card with a double digit winner and finished with 5 winners out of the 9 races.  Let's do better today.  Below are the Aqueduct Selections for November 12th, 2021. The Early Pick  5 Ticket will be updated after 11AM when the scratches and track conditions are announced.

The below chart shows the horse’s likelihood of winning a race.  “A” horses are most likely while (B) and (C) horses are not as likely, they may offer more value.  The formation of the (A), (B) and (C) horses is derived from speed of horse, pace potential of race, training patterns, and track conditions.

RACE A HORSES B HORSES C HORSES
1 1,4 7 2
2 13, 14 16 15
3 4,5 1,2
4 5 1
5 4,8,9 12
6 2 16,15 13,14
7 4 1
8 14,15 4, 16
9 1,7,10

The Skinny Ticket is the name for a low priced pick 5 ticket that allows for a big payout.  The ticket usually relies on a single selection in the sequence and usually ranges from $18.00 to $75.00 in price.

The Skinny Ticket Early Pick 5

1,2,4,7 w 14, 16 w 2,4 w  5, 7 w 3,4,9,12 = $64.00

OR

1,2,3.4, 7 w 13,14,16 w 2,4 w 1A, 5, 7 w 3,12 =$30.00

RACE 1

1 Greatitude hails first out from the Pletcher barn which merits inclusion but also is bred for an off track; 2 Demand Respect should improve second time for trainer Chad Brown, but the horse probably is not a sprinter. 4 Mischievous Diane is a deserving favorite and 7 Kathleen O first time out  for trainer Shug McGaughey is worth including at ML8-1, but may prefer turf in the future based on breeding.

RACE 2

off turf:  16 Mr. Briggs14 Theresastormbrewin, 13 Bourbon Bay, 15 Handy

RACE 3

1 Vegas Weekend has run well over the off track  and 2 Dealing Justice is bred for the mud and has speed. A change of heart and will try to have the Parx horses on top— Shout out to Bensalem @parxracing!

RACE 4

1 Jerusalem Gates finished in the money last two times out Rice with Lezcano has been an excellent combo --also get the 1A Make It In NY with Kendrick Carmouche.  5 Giocare trained by Pletcher and ridden by Saez one of the best mud riders out there. Adding in 7 Mister Winston for Morley barn undergoing a gamut of changes— plus like seeing Maggie all excited for a winner.

RACE 5

Off Turf:  4 Order of Magnitude is a Chad Brown trainee sired by Curlin; Brad Cox trainee 8 Eddie the great is out off mud specialist Munnings; CC trained 9 Charming Charlie could show an affinity to the off going; and the MTO 12 Predicted merits inclusion.

RACE 6

MTO's in the following order 16.15,13, 14 and 2 Tijera Lee is out of the great Ghostzapper.

RACE 7

Baker and Barker -- Baker's 4 Towering Orbit and Barker's 1 Blame it on Mary

RACE 8

Off Turf:

14 Perfect Grace, 15 Halo City, 4 Big Bad Diva, 16 Vienna Code

RACE 9

1 The Right Path, 7 Mandatory Payout, and 10 Fast Break

Aqueduct results:

5/9 winners for the meet 55% either A or B selections are winners.

 

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