Aqueduct selcetions for November 13th, 2021

Aqueduct Selections for November 13th, 2021

Started the card strong with 4 of the first 4 winners; missed the middle three, but finished with the winners in the last two races including the exacta in race 8 with a 20 dollar winner 15 Halo City and the exacta, trifecta and late double with 10 Fast Break, 7 Mandatory Payout, and 1 The Right Path finished 1-2-3 in the finale. finished with 6 of 9 winner son the day and now stand at 11 winners out of 18 races.


The below chart shows the horse’s likelihood of winning a race.  “A” horses are most likely while (B) and (C) horses are not as likely, they may offer more value.  The formation of the (A), (B) and (C) horses is derived from speed of horse, pace potential of race, training patterns, and track conditions.


1 1 4,5 3,6
2 2,6 1,10 4
3 3,7 1,2 6
4 3,8 1,5
5 7,9 8
6 1,5 8
7 2,5 3,6
8 5 3,4
9 3,5 4 1,1
10 4,7


The Skinny Ticket is the name for a low priced pick 5 ticket that allows for a big payout.  The ticket usually relies on a single selection in the sequence and usually ranges from $18.00 to $75.00 in price.


The Skinny Ticket Early Pick 5

1,3 w 1,2,4,6,10 w 1,3,6,7 w 1,3,8 w 7 = $60.00


1 Summer Bourbon had won two in a row over the summer and likes the Big A with 7 wins at this oval; 4 Grand Casique goes first off the claim for an exceptional claiming trainer, Orlando Noda, and gets an upgrade in rider to Irad; 5 Cantrell Hill has been a popular item in the claim box and has improved --hopefully will continue, and 6 Dream bigger has faced better horses but seems to be going in the wrong direction. 3 Blinkster likes the oval at the Big A and is reunited with trainer Handal.


Turf races at the Big A have been speed and get to the rail to save ground.  10 Ghostmom seems to fit the bill but will need to break well from the 10 post and get over.   Trainer Tom Morley's 2 Rally Squirrel will be off slow but can sit the rail and make move down the stretch with closing kick-- don't leave too much work to do though -- also has the best chance for improvement second time out.  CC's 6 Senan keeps Lezcano and he is one of the best turf trainers and horses like the one above is second time out.  Finally, 1 Arrowheart has past races that put her in the mix with these.

Long shot play -- Nevin's 4 Bless Bless is bred for turf and will be a price --wanted turf first out but stayed in race washed off the turf.


1 Bastet is Saez with speed; 2 Quantitativebreezin SCRATCHED and 6 Baba ran won two last time they met.  Expect 1,2,4and 6 to duel it out on front end with 6 Baba trying to win for trainer Michelle Giangiulio -rooting for her but watch out for 3 Magnatique and 7 Rosey's Peach to pass them in the lane.


CC's 8 Home For Christmas is a logical favorite; 3 English Breeze gets an upgrade in rider but Donk has been in a slump -- suiting tribute to sire English Channel (one of my all-time favorite horse) to win since he passed this week at Calumet Farm in KY; 1 Unicorn Sally is a win candidate but would like Saez on her even though Kendrick is a suitable replacement.  Exacta repeater --8 over 5 since those two ran 2,3 last out at Belmont. 


These three in rolling action: 7 Immotalization,8 Will Take Control, and 9 Ricky's Revenge


1 Chanceu goes out second time for TAP deserving fav -- 5 Papito almost took them gate to wire last out at a mile -- get out and over to the rail! -- definitely will be there turning for home;  Trainer Tom Morley's 8 Snow Candy improved in a race moved off turf so still eligible to improve on preferred surface.


2 Breakfastatbonnies has Saez and speed while 3 Happy Sophia is shooting for the hat  trick today. 5 Beautiful Karen will battle for the lead and 6 Ruvies in Time will try to pass them down the lane.


With no other speed signed on -5 Happy Medium should dictate the race.


3 Rinaldi will try to steal on the front end while 5 Tell your Daddy will try to keep him insight and 4 March to Arch will try to run those two down late.  However, 1 Flavius for Chad Brown must be respected and the same goes for Maker's 11 Field Pass.


4 Tap The Heart for TAP and Irad ans Brad Cox's 7 Half Birthday.




Aqueduct win and win percentage total:

11 winners out of 18 races =61%