Class is in session:
Like a horse that trains fantastic only to stink it up on the track in the race. I was great in the morning and stunk it up in the afternoon.
My early morning Pick Six ticket has all the winners for the price of 160.00. (4 x 1 x 5 x 4 x 5 x 2) However, after a discussion with my partners, we went for a cheaper play and I changed my opinion on a couple of horses (a mistake of the the most regrettable kind). See text message from 9:52 AM on Sunday 7 March to my cartel partners with my picks for the day.
My picks above and the races below:
Race 6 the 3 Livin at the Beach wins easily under Irad Ortiz. In Race 7, I feared the 7 Free to Fly seemed too obvious, but Paco Lopez made it look easy after a slow break.
In Race 8, the 6 Dancing Doll rolled past the pace horses in a 5 furlong Turf Sprint, and in Race 9, the 3 Bimini wins off the claim rolling late and turning the tables on Walder's Tiz Possible Dear (Gilberto Zerpa is tremendous off the claim trainer at GP).
In Race 10, another 5 Furlong Turf Sprint, Brendan Walsh (an excellent under the radar turf trainer) wins with the 9 Lontano ridden by Tyler Gafflione. The 5 Scotty Brown (Jane Cibelli trained) was a Jim Mazur Blue Chip that picked up second to complete a nice exacta for 118.40 -- shout out to those over at Progressive Handicapping ( I'll feature their products in a later blog and if you like statistics, data, and Fantasy Sports, Jim Mazur and Progressive Handicapping offers products for your style of handicapping).
Likewise, Jim Mazur's Progressive Handicapping 2021 Sire Ratings (99.00 for the year - a great deal) led me to the two Into Mischief sired horses in the 6 Furlong Maiden Special Weight finale. Ian Wilkes' 2 Mischiefful and Brad Cox's 7 Vigilantia were both sired by Into Mischief. The 2 Wilke's Mischiefful won easily over Chad Brown's first time starter the 1 Goodnight Olive (who I placed in my virtual stable for next out). Of Course, Brad Cox is winning everywhere but in Florida -- guess I could have cut my ticket price in half.
The winning ticket of 3-7-6-3-9-2 returned 1,140.92. That would have been a nice R.O.I. on my 160.00 investment. Once again, my principal handicapping falls victim to poor money management and poor ticket construction.
Lessons Learned:
- Stick with your opinions
- Mazur's Progressive Handicapping products provided a winner and a key exacta play - if you pay for them; use them!
- Brad Cox sent his JV team to Florida
The Principal
