Late Pick 4 at Gulfstream 03-20-2021
Let's jump right in to the picks:
A's B's C's
Race 9: 10, 3, 2 1, 7 5, 9
Race 10: 4 8,5,1 7
Race 11: 1,3,4 6,7
Race 12: 1,6,7 2
In Race 9, I will play Mott, Mcgaughey, and Maker- always play the 1 defensively at Gulfstream but I do not love Leparoux ever and I am always on the wrong side of him. The 7 horse is interesting with a new trainer and JJ riding, and finally, I watch the odds on the 5 out of Flatter for my friend who loves all Flatter progeny and Dixie Union's on turf.
In Race 10, the 4 horse Pacific Gale lays over the field. Kimmel's bard has been on fire in 2021 recovering from a chilly 2020. I know the old racing adage "missed the wedding; don't show up to the funeral (Pacific gale won at 16-1 last time out), but the best horse is still the best horse. I have watched a lot of gamblers lose money because they held a grudge. Play the logical horse. I will play the inside post defensively and like McGaughey even with Leparoux riding.
In Race 11: Ward's Carimba ( # 1) has done nothing wrong. I hav already made my feelings known about the post position. Brad Cox sends out #3 Field Day -- Cox has been weak at Gulfstream - maybe he is due, but I am certain he will not be in southern Florida today with bigger fish to fry in Louisiana. Finally, I like #4 Maker's Kasim to close if a speed duel emerges up front.
In Race 12, I went with the logical horses, but would play the 1 for value and if I can eliminate a few horses in the earlier legs, I will add the class dropping #2 Shot Tanker at 30-1. Meneses is riding well.
Many of my picks are with the blue blood trainers like Mott McGaughey, Maker, and Ward. But, I play what I know. Also, with Saez and J Ortiz out of town, and Irad serving a suspension. I expect Edgard Zayas, Paco Lopez and Tyler Gaffalione to have their best days. I am putting a check next to Tyler for 3 wins today.
Lessons today:
Play the logical horse in horizontal wagers
Play tried and true trainers
Play Tyler, Paco, and Edgard with the leading riders out of town.
Watch JJ Castellano jumping on a horse for a little known trainer -- Advanced Strategy may win at a price in Race 9.
Let's see what we learn today!
The Principal
