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18 Sovereignty will improve off his bounce in the Florida Derby. He will get Junior Alvarado back in the saddle who missed the Florida Derby race due to injury. Alvarado is trainer Bill Mott's go to jockey. By the Way, Bill Mott is an old school "oats and water" trainer that picks the best places for his horses to peak. 18; Sovereignty is definitely a win candidate and a must include on horizontal and vertical wagers. He will have to run through tiring horses if the pace makes the race with this one expected to be hotly contested up front.
21 Baeza if he draws in (Currently 21 Baeza is on the Also Eligible list and needs another horse to drop out of the race) must be respected since he just missed against 8 Journalism in the Santa Anita Derby. If jockey Flavien Pratt rides here, it will just add to his potential since Pratt is a money man is Stakes races setting the record for stakes wins last year winning the Breeders' Cup classic on Sierre Leone ( BC Classic is the biggest and most important race of the horse racing since it has horses ages 3 and up).
Sierre Leone was my second choice last year and proved me right on my judgement of talent with a win in the BC Classic and a nose defeat to perfect trip Mystic Dan!
The Japanese horses ran 3 Forever Young and 5 TO Password in last year's Derby, so they are getting closer - I'm still pushing 7 Luxor Cafe at 15-1 ML it is important to note that 7 Luxor Cafe was a full 2 seconds faster than last year's 5th place finisher TO Password in the same final race prior to the derby. That bolded sentence may be the most important racing information needed heading into the Kentucky Derby!
